Low arrivals of seed cotton in India

According to AGM, by Nov 30, 2021, the arrivals of seed cotton in India totaled 1.076 million tons, up 50.7% from the corresponding period of last season, but down 14.7% from the six-year average. Viewed from the daily arrivals, the data has shown weakness.

Based on the weekly, monthly and yearly changes in the arrivals of seed cotton during the same period of previous years, the current arrivals were obviously low. If combined with the Indian cotton production given by Cotton Association of India in the past seasons, it is preliminarily estimated that the arrivals of Indian cotton are about 19.3%-23.6% of the production. On concern about the delayed harvests time, 2021/22 Indian cotton production is projected at about 5.51 million tons, a fall of 8.1% from last season. This year, Indian cotton prices hit multi-year high and growers have seen large increase of benefits, but the arrivals of seed cotton is still hard to increase obviously. The reasons behind it are worthy to be probed into.